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ANU Crawford School of Public Policy

Scenario planning for managers

One-day short course


29th July 2015


ANU Crawford School of Public Policy


Gary Saliba



This course at The Australian National University’s Crawford School of Public Policy will provide you with skills and techniques to facilitate decision-making in complex and uncertain environments using foresighting and scenario planning.

Course overview


The best laid plans can be derailed by changes which simply weren’t anticipated. Identifying and understanding those factors that are uncertain and exploring the risks and alternate approaches for future changes is vital to ensure your projects aren’t blown off course by the winds of change. This course will teach you the skills and tools you can use to develop your situational awareness and understanding of the available options to develop counter strategies for each situation.

Using evidence-based approaches, participants will be taught to identify those critical and uncertain factors that can influence and shape alternate futures. As we face new landscape paradigms dominated by global uncertainties and with Australia leveraging to take advantage of the Asian century, these skills will become an increasingly essential part of policy and strategy development for the APS.

Course convenor

Dr Gary Saliba

Dr Gary Saliba, a Visiting Fellow at Crawford School of Public Policy, ANU, specialises in the integration and implementation of processes such as futures studies (understanding what the future could look like), strategy development, computer simulation modelling and change management.

He consults extensively across a range of government and commercial enterprises worldwide in developing organisational strategies based on plausible futures and aimed at improved responsiveness, flexibility and informed decision-making.

Course date: 9.30am–4.30pm 29 July 2015
Venue: #132 Crawford Building, Lennox Crossing, ANU
Cost: A$1,100 GST incl; Group discounts applicable

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